Joking aside, the proposal is an interesting and creative one. Yet what worries me is that it involves huge reputational risk, for both the RBI itself and banks which would be induced to lend to moneylenders, and the gains, in terms of financial inclusion, are uncertain at best. One can only imagine the beating the RBI would take in the press if the proposal were to be adopted as law and a farmer lent to by an “accredited loan provider” committed suicide. (Indeed, the RBI is already taking a beating just for floating the idea.)
Similarly, it’s not clear if legitimizing moneylenders and inducing banks to lend to them would really translate into more or cheaper credit to those who depend on moneylenders for loans. Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz has shown that due to the monopolist nature of the money-lending market, subsidies to moneylenders may only result in an increase in profit to the moneylender. (no free online version: K. Hoff and J.E. Stiglitz (1997) "Moneylenders and Bankers: Price-increasing Subsidies in a Monopolistically Competitive Market", Journal of Development Economics, Volume 52, Number 2, pp. 429-462(34).) Furthermore, it's not certain that Indian moneylenders are strapped for cash in the first place or that banks, even with the prodding of the RBI, would be willing to lend to moneylenders at all. (Banks, after all, are not too big on lending to businesses with few tangible assets and whose profits they are unable to monitor.)
Is it just me or is the RBI staking way too much on a gamble with a very low potential payoff?
1 comments:
Your blog on RBI using moneylenders to implement micro finance is interesting. Your take on the ups and downs of this idea is really true. And i thing this can be successfully implemented if technology can be slipped into this process.
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